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Model prices fell 80% in a single announcement this week. Run the trendline forward and the interesting question is not the price - it is what developers, teams, and the broader economy do when intelligence stops being the scarce input.
A thought experiment with the sci-fi removed: freeze the models at today's capability, drop the price to zero overnight, and work out what actually changes for a working developer. Less than you fear, more than you think, and not where you expect.
A first-hand visit to DeepSeek HQ reveals something more interesting than benchmark scores: a 300-person company that treats AI as infrastructure, not eschatology - and what that means for API pricing everywhere.

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